Obviously it is a prediction. But as stated in the article “..but whether the new test is adopted will depend on many factors, including hesitation by gynecologists to abandon Pap smears, which have been remarkably effective. Cervical cancer was a leading cause of death for American women in the 1950s; it now kills fewer than 4,000 a year.”
Doctors are an interesting *breed*. Are we afraid of change? Why do we cling to the status quo? How long will it take for rural docs to find out the technology is available and adopt its use? Don’t know… but I bet you that PAP smears are still around for a long time. Can SM make the difference ??? Can the patient influence physician behavior??? I think the answer to that is yes…. and those docs who do not respond will quickly find their practice suffering.