OOPS! Models’ Projections for Flu Miss Mark by Wide Margin

In the waning days of April, as federal officials were declaring a public health emergency and the world seemed gripped by swine flu panic, two rival supercomputer teams made projections about the epidemic that were surprisingly similar — and surprisingly reassuring. By the end of May, they said, there would be only 2,000 to 2,500 cases in the United States.

Well… they were wrong… there are, by some estimates a hundred thousand cases in the US. Ooops.

No further predictions will be forthcoming 🙂 And we’re hitting the exponential phase now.

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About hjluks

A busy Academic Orthopedic Surgeon, Digital Strategist, Chief Medical Officer and father... intently and efficiently navigating the intersection of Social Media and Health Care.
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