In the waning days of April, as federal officials were declaring a public health emergency and the world seemed gripped by swine flu panic, two rival supercomputer teams made projections about the epidemic that were surprisingly similar — and surprisingly reassuring. By the end of May, they said, there would be only 2,000 to 2,500 cases in the United States.
Well… they were wrong… there are, by some estimates a hundred thousand cases in the US. Ooops.
No further predictions will be forthcoming 🙂 And we’re hitting the exponential phase now.